“The Case for Cursive”

On Christmas day when I was six, I eagerly ran downstairs to open my presents. I’d been told that I was going to get something (I think it was my first bicycle — we were living in Florida at the time, so Christmas weather wouldn’t pose a problem to immediate enjoyment). I got to the end of my presents without finding it. I was terribly disappointed, but then my parents pointed out a piece of paper taped to the inside of the front door. It was a note, and I excitedly tore it down.

It was written in cursive.

My mother read it to me. She said it was from Santa, something like he was going to bring it to me, but the elves hadn’t finished making it yet. But I was suspicious, because she said it with the tone of voice that she always uses when she’s teasing me, and of course I didn’t know the obvious reason she’d be teasing me at that point. I was in the first grade, and cursive wasn’t taught until at least the third grade, so I had no way to verify that she wasn’t making it all up. They could’ve taped any paper on the door and I wouldn’t have been able to tell the difference. Wouldn’t Santa have known that I couldn’t read cursive yet?

That’s what I was reminded of when I read this.

I’m of two minds on it. On one hand, future generations will have trouble reading the writing of the past. On the other, this is the twenty-first century — there isn’t a lot of need to hand-write anything, and there will be even less in time. Typing is even faster than cursive, and speaking (once voice recognition reaches true maturity) faster still.

In fact, as noted in the article, the only place where handwriting is still important is in signatures. There’s some concern about the security of handwritten signatures being compromised by the lack of handwriting skill, but security guru Bruce Schneier disagrees. I guess we’ll see who’s right, though I suspect Schneier has a more valid point.

“Timeline of Science Fiction Ideas, Technology and Inventions”

I often talk here about science fiction ideas that are now becoming science fact, but it has been happening for a lot longer than I’d realized. Many of the innovations of space travel apparently originated with Jules Verne and were published in 1867 — nearly a hundred years before humans ever rose above the atmosphere. An early concept of the credit card appeared in an 1888 novel, and the videophone a year later. The laser in 1898. The PDA in 1899, the TV in 1909, the chess-playing computer in 1910, the airlock in 1928… the list is very, very long, and there are a number of things on it that we haven’t yet achieved, along with the many we have.

Science makes technology happen, but science fiction dreams it first.

(Via BoingBoing)

Ubuntu 11.04, a.k.a. “Natty Narwhal”

After seeing reviews like these for the new version of Ubuntu, I was a bit apprehensive about upgrading. But as usual and despite my attempts to wait, I did so anyway, several days ago. I figured they couldn’t have screwed up the GNOME interface too much, and no matter how bad the new Unity interface was, I could always switch back to that.

Well, I was almost right.

Unity requires 3D graphics support. This MacBook Pro has plenty of that, but VMware Fusion 3 doesn’t support it for Linux guests. When I tried to log in, I got a polite message saying that it couldn’t show the Unity interface, and was reverting to GNOME. Oh well. I’m assuming VMware is working on that problem; until they fix it, I’m stuck with a more stable GNOME system. It could be worse.

Also as usual, this upgrade broke some things, though not too badly:

  • GnuCash, the money-manager that I use, would only show a blank window for a couple of my accounts unless I told it to open “New Window with Page”… irritating, but not a show-stopper.
  • CodeLite, the programming IDE I’m using, had some very weird scrolling behavior related to the new scroll-bars being a lot smaller than it was expecting. A search immediately turned up a bug-report. It apparently happens with all programs written using the wxWidgets library; presumably the wxWidgets people are already working on a fix. In the mean time, there’s a work-around built into the system to tell it to use the old scroll-bars instead, which works perfectly.
  • A couple modules in the VMware Tools package wouldn’t compile, apparently due to API changes. I tried the open-vm-tools package, but it does not replace VMware Tools, no matter what it claims — it doesn’t seem to provide cross-machine copy/paste support or automatic guest screen resizing when switching the host’s resolution (as I must when I switch to the internal monitor to go portable). Again, irritating.

Even better, when I got up this morning there were updates waiting for me, which automatically corrected the problems with both GnuCash and CodeLite. 🙂

There’s also a new version of the VMware Tools system that fixes the problems I had, but the only way I found to get it was to extract it manually. 🙁 A royal pain in the arse, but I did so. On the plus side, it looks like it works perfectly, so far.

I don’t recommend this sort of thing for the general user, or even in many cases the power user. I don’t even recommend it for myself. But if you’re dying to upgrade to Natty, it shouldn’t be too rough.

“The story of history is of more for less”

As I’ve gotten older and learned more about what’s going on in the world, I’ve been shocked and dismayed at the problems that I see. To the point that I’ve had serious thoughts about avoiding having kids, much as I want them, because bringing them into this kind of world seems to be a disservice to them. I’m not alone; a good portion of every generation seems to go through this at some point. But let me tell you a story.

I have a friend, who I’ll call D. D’s father was a confirmed pessimist (though he would disagree with the label — according to him, he was just a realist). To him, everything was going wrong, and the world was headed to hell in a handbasket. And he had proof of it: he could pick up a newspaper or turn on a TV news show, any day of the week, and show you exactly why he believed that. (Apparently he hadn’t caught onto the fact that newspapers and news shows have a financial incentive to always give bad news.)

But D is a smart guy, and sees a lot more than he talks about. One day during such a rant, he asked his father, “Dad, are things getting better?”

His father stopped dead, and you could see him thinking hard, trying to find some evidence that it wasn’t. It went on for a noticeable length of time, then he reluctantly said, “yeah, son, it’s getting better.”

For many years, that story has given me hope. If even a well-informed life-long pessimist had to admit that things are getting better, then I could take it on faith that they must be. But recently I found this:

[…] The acceleration of progress can be measured in objective terms such as the amount of labor it takes to earn an hour of reading light. In 1997, with CF bulbs, it was half a second. In 1950, with incandescent bulbs, eight seconds. In 1880, with kerosene lamps, fifteen minutes. In 1800, with candles, six hours. In every decade various intellectuals keep saying that progress has stopped or is about to stop, but Ridley showed chart after chart chronicling constant improvement in everything we care about. Life expectancy is increasing by five hours a day. IQ keeps going up by three points a decade. Agriculture gets ever more productive, leaving more land to remain wild. Even economic inequality is decreasing, with poor countries getting rich faster than rich countries are getting richer.

On the subject of climate change, Ridley has a similar set of detailed charts showing that sea level has been rising slowly for a long time, but it is not accelerating. The same with the retreat of glaciers. Overall global warming is proceeding slower than was predicted. Humanity has been decarbonizing its energy supply steadily for 150 years as we progressed from wood to coal to oil to natural gas. A few years ago it was thought that only 25 years of natural gas was left, but with the invention of hydrofracking shale gas, the supply is suddenly 250 years worth, and it is a hugely cleaner source than coal. (Among nuclear innovations, Ridley is particularly intrigued by thorium reactors.) […]

Proof positive, in my opinion. Even if the mega-rich and their paid-for politicians drive the country into abject poverty, that will only screw things up for a few decades at most. Things are still getting better, and despite the constant bad news, the future is brighter now than at any time in the past, and every year it becomes more likely that it will continue to do so. No one can see past the technological singularity — that’s why it’s called that, after all — but once we reach it, there’s a very good chance that we’ll be able to stave off almost any possible physical disaster, and ride out the ones that we can’t.

At that point, the only threat to humanity will be humanity itself, but that’s an entirely different subject.